Xperted Race Analysis

Select a date and race. The race dropdown is sorted by venue. Previous / Next follow jump order. Jump times are shown in Australia/Sydney time.

Historical overlay 10 days 20 days #1 top 3 #2 top 3 #3 top 3 #1 top 3 and (#2 or #3) top 3 zones points

Top 3 by final rank Other runners Hovered runner guide lines

Leader / fast early On pace Midfield Back / rearward

Next 5 to jump

Venue	Race	Jump	Countdown

Race info

Race notes

Last 10 days prediction effectiveness

Winner hit % Top-3 overlap % Bubble size = race count

Last 10 days report

Selected race table

Predicted top 3 Other runners 1st/2nd/3rd/4th border overlay

Prediction vs Result Summary

Selected date effectiveness

Predicted rank 1 outcomes

Predicted rank 2 outcomes

Predicted rank 3 outcomes

Runner outcomes

Opportunity summary

How it is scored

This report flags right side trio races using FINAL probability shape. Best opportunities are races where the top 3 cluster clearly on the right of the graph, the 3rd runner drops away from the 4th, at least two of the top 3 are not buried on negative winner-shape, and the field size is in the duet sweet spot.

Sweet spot: 8 to 10 runners
Good: 11 to 12 runners
Fallback: other duet-eligible fields if the shape is still strong

Top combinations: filters the list to the historically strongest edge patterns, especially G45+ + RST-G34+, Edge ≥ 80, and Edge ≥ 90. Use this when you want the shortlist rather than all structural shapes.

Best race opportunities for selected date

Opportunity list Sort hide jumped races edge profiles only Top combinations

Premium Races

Premium races are loaded from the daily three-stage prediction file produced after the side-by-side run.

Purpose

This is the production output of the validated three-stage selector. Stage 1 removes R1 fail + R2 down races; Stage 2 removes the remaining R1 fail races; Stage 3 removes races where the R1/R2 physics gap is ≤ 0.050. Surviving races are labelled PREMIUM and retain the original side-by-side R1 as the winner prediction.

The full walk-forward backtest produced an R1 strike rate of about 44.9% on the premium population. Today's result file is not used to create this list.

Premium race list hide jumped races Minimum field

Race	Jump	Time to jump	Field	Band	Prediction	Premium signal	Historical	Gap12	R1 fail	R2 down	R2	R3	R4
Premium prediction file has not been loaded for this date.